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The Blog

Notes from the deal table.

Articles, analysis, observations, and the occasional interview on valuation, due diligence, and what actually happens when businesses change hands.

Interview

Understanding Your Market Before You Buy: A Conversation with PeerView AI's Christopher Johnson

Most people buying a small business make one of the biggest financial decisions of their life based on the seller's financials, some demographic research, and a lot of hope. Christopher Johnson spent a decade at Capital One building the data tools that could change that. We talk oversaturated pet care markets in Austin, the franchise fee problem, and how to tell a great business from a great location.

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Analysis

Private Equity Isn't Buying Your Past: Why Valuation Is All About the Future

PE firms aren't paying a premium for the 80-hour weeks that got you here. They're buying the runway ahead, and every owner dependency is a discount to your multiple.

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Analysis

What the NVIDIA Fraud Allegations Teach Small Business Buyers About Due Diligence

DSO, cash conversion, circular financing. The metrics one analyst used to question a trillion-dollar company are the same ones that expose problems in million-dollar deals.

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Deal Practice

Don't Get Burned by Quietly Declining Working Capital

The biggest blind spot in small-business acquisitions isn't revenue or margins. It's the net working capital trend, and what it means when liquidity is leaving the business before you arrive.

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Observation

Business Valuations Post-DOGE

Notes from my session at the Texas Forum on International Tax: What the restructuring of the IRS Engineering & Valuation program means for practitioners, and two predictions for where this goes.

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Note

Lilac Street Capital Is Back

It's been a minute. A short note on who we are, who we serve, and what this next chapter looks like.

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